N:64 Week 3, Part 2

NFL64

And now for the rest of the week’s games!

RNK TEAM LW DIFF
1 Patriots 1 0
2 Steelers 2 0
3 Panthers 5 +2
4 Vikings 9 +5-
5 Bengals 3 -2
6 Broncos 13 +7
7 Giants 11 +4
8 Cardinals 12 +4
9 Texans 22 +13
10 Chiefs 10 0
11 Seahawks 4 -7
12 Packers 8 -4
13 Raiders 7 -6
14 Lions 6 -8
15 Ravens 16 +1
16 Jets 20 +4
17 Bucs 15 -2
18 Chargers 25 +5
19 Cowboys 24 +5
20 Eagles -23 +3
21 Falcons 21 0
22 Colts 17 -5
23 Jaguars 14 -9
24 Redskins 19 -5
25 Dolphins 18 -7
26 Saints 27 +1
27 49ers 29 +2
28 Titans 30 +2
29 Bills 29 -1
30 Rams 32 +2
31 Bears 26 -5
32 Browns 31 -1

SUNDAY 1 PM GAMES

ARIZONA (1-1) @ BUFFALO (0-2) [+4] OVER/UNDER [47]

  • The Cardinals really bounced back and there is no reason to expect them to slip back, even flying across the country. They are just better than the Bills in each in every way possible. Even Bruce Arians bluster at least makes sense most of the time.
  • I think the year of John Brown may have been 2014. Otherwise the Cardinals look like the Cardinals, lots of points in lots of places.
  • The Bills are bad. Poorly coached, lacking in healthy talent, and while I think Sammy Watkins can play, but it seems like that trade up was just poor planning.
  • I don’t think there are any Bills you can start in fantasy, except you probably have to start LeSean McCoy based on where you drafted him.

Cardinals 31, Bills 9 (UNDER 47)

OAKLAND (1-1) @ TENNESSEE (1-1) [-1.5] OVER/UNDER [47]

  • The Raiders need to figure out their defense and fast. They have put up plenty of points, but haven’t been able to stop anyone. Where is Khalil Mack? Or is this a case of the University of Buffalo showing their true colors as an institution? It’s just going to be a bad NFL year for My Friend Craig on EVERY front.
  • Start your Raiders.
  • Titans were allowed a chance to win and Marcus Mariota threw a horrible pass that Andre Johnson happened to catch. I hear people saying he is good, but I just am not sure, he completely panics in the face of a blitz and I’ve seen no sign of that getting better.
  • The Titans have a great matchup against the struggling Oakland defense, but I don’t know that I would trust any of these guys in my fantasy lineups.

Raiders 35, Titans 21 (OVER 47)

WASHINGTON (0-2) @ NEW YORK [NFC] (2-0) [-4.5] OVER/UNDER [45.5]

  • My, oh my, all the hope and promise that the Redskins started the year with, is slipping through the cracks and a loss to another division opponent is not going be damn near the end of their year. I still think they lose, my biggest question is Jay Gruden a good coach? The team seems to be in these games, but the QB is costing them, and the WRs aren’t happy. BUT why do you throw 3 fade routes to a rookie?
  • I was surprised by how they attacked the Cowboys, but it seemed mostly effective and had Cousins been good I think they win. That being said, I don’t know who you can trust fantasy wise.
  • The New York Giants may have figured it out, at least when they hold on to the ball. They should have run away with that game against the Saints last week, but turnovers almost cost them the game entirely. They will figure it out and get ODell Beckham Jr. more involved.
  • If Rashad Jennings can’t go, Shane Vereen is a nice play as he will get the majority of the work. Start the WRs and Eli Manning as well.

Giants 24, Redskins 13 (UNDER 45.5)

CLEVELAND (0-2) @ MIAMI (0-2) [-10] OVER/UNDER [41.5]

  • It’s a tale of woe in Cleveland, but that’s ok because they want to lose and build through the draft, which looked to be going pretty well, until Corey Coleman broke his hand in practice. If Cody Kessler is the starter the rest of the year 0-16 is not only possible, I think it becomes likely.
  • I’m starting Isaiah Crowell this week, but that’s more because I lost Jonathan Stewart, than because I love the play. I think Gary Barnidge might be a sit.
  • The Dolphins were on their way to a being hugely blown out before an injury saved their Sunday and maybe their season. Sure they didn’t win, but they can take a lot out of those 2 road games to start the season. If they can get Tannehill to be even mediocre consistently.
  • Start your Dolphins. Arian Foster is the only guy I’d sit, even if he plays.

Dolphins 27, Browns 14 (UNDER 41.5)

BALTIMORE (2-0) @ JACKSONVILLE (0-2) [+1] OVER/UNDER [47]

  • I don’t know that the Ravens are good, but they can win games against less talented teams. My question now is, are the Jaguars a less talented team? I don’t think so, but they don’t have the “it” factor the Ravens have proved to have.
  • Mike Wallace and Dennis Pitta should get the bulk of the targets. Other than that I’m not sure there is a safe play on the Ravens not named Justin Tucker.
  • It’s win or go home for the season with the Jaguars. Which also means it’s win or clear out your desk for Gus Bradley.
  • You have to start you Jags because paid for them. TJ Yeldon is my favorite play if Chris Ivory is still inactive.

Ravens 31, Jaguars 30 (OVER 47)

DETROIT (1-1) @ GREEN BAY (1-1) [-7.5] OVER/UNDER [47.5]

  • Jim Caldwell is going to get fired if the Lions blow another game like that. Too many penalties, too many missed opportunities.
  • The Green Bay defense doesn’t look too stout, so feel free to start the Lions you need to without too much worry.
  • Green Bay needs to fix their protection and find a way to get the wideouts open or Aaron Rodgers is going to be just another guy.
  • Start Rodgers, I just don’t know who else you can trust. The targets seem to be there for Jordy Nelson, but he doesn’t look the same to me.

Packers 21, Lions 20 (UNDER 47.5)

DENVER (2-0) @ CINCINNATI (1-1) [-3] OVER/UNDER [41]

  • The Denver defense has looked great, but the Demarcus Ware injury could be a huge loss in how teams can protect against Von Miller. Also the first road game, in a fairly hostile environment for Trevor Semien. I don’t expect him to be particularly good, because while he has done his job, he hasn’t been exceptional in any real way. Plus the Bengals defense did a heck of a job against Ben Roethlisberger at home, who is far better than Semien.
  • They are going to rely heavily on CJ Anderson to take pressure off Semien. They need to figure out how to get Emmanuel Sanders more involved as well.
  • The Bengals splitting their first two road games is a win for them. Andy Dalton looks a little better in the pocket than he used to, but his arm strength just might not be there for some of the play calls. He can still get to them deep into the playoffs if the defense holds up and if Jeremy Hill decides to come out of witness protection.
  • Start AJ Green and Giovnni Bernard in a PPR. I don’t know who else you can trust though.

Bengals 20, Broncos 10 (UNDER 41)

MINNESOTA (2-0) @ CAROLINA (1-1) [-7] OVER/UNDER [43]

  • Losing Adrian Peterson may not be the big blow everyone thinks it is. They don’t need a stud at RB, they need to move the chains and kill the clock. Their backs can do that. They do need to keep Sam Bradford healthy though.
  • I’m playing Stefon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph in various leagues this week. Rudolph in a two TE league. You may have better single TE options.
  • It will be interesting to see if Carolina can score against a good defense, which the Vikings are, especially without Jonathan Stewart. I don’t think they can, hence me taking the points and the under.
  • Cam Newton, Kelvin Benjamin and Greg Olsen….

Panthers 17, Vikings 13 (UNDER 43)

SUNDAY 4 PM GAMES

LOS ANGELES (1-1) @ TAMPA BAY (1-1) [-5.5] OVER/UNDER [42]

  • Sure the Rams beat the Seahawks, but they still stink, they just caught the Seahawks at a good time. I don’t think they can go to Tampa Bay and win.
  • I mean you drafted Todd Gurley as your season long tent pole, you have to play him, but I wouldn’t be in love with the move even if Jared Goff becomes the starter.
  • A young team like Tampa Bay is going to struggle against better teams on the road, and that’s what happened in week 2. It doesn’t worry me too much, although keeping everyone on the field til the end of the game is questionable.
  • With Doug Martin out and a good Rams front, I expect Charles Sims to carry the load, but to have that load be more short pass based than actually run based. You don’t care as long as he gets you points. I do expect them to take some shots against a somewhat suspect LA secondary.

Bucs 38, Rams 17 (OVER 42)

SAN FRANCISCO (1-1) @ SEATTLE (1-1) [-9] OVER/UNDER [40]

  • The 49ers showed good pluck against what looks to be the best team in the NFC again. Can they take it to the Seahawks in Seattle? The way Seattle is playing I wouldn’t doubt it and while I don’t think it’s likely, I’ll take the 9 points considering Seattle still only has 1 TD all season.
  • I don’t know who you can comfortably start on the 49ers, but the list starts and ends with Carlos Hyde.
  • This is starting to look less like a slow start for the Seahawks and more like the beginning of the end for Petey Carroll in Seattle. He was amazingly animated on the sidelines last week, even for him. He doesn’t coach well when things aren’t going well and that was evident last week. They really poorly planned for a potential Russell Wilson injury and I don’t know that they know how to survive if that ankle doesn’t heal.
  • Ugly. Can you start Tyler Lockett? Either of the running backs? Russell Wilson? I just don’t see it and I’m a big Lockett fan.

Seahawks 20, 49ers 16 (UNDER 40)

NEW YORK [AFC] (1-1) @ KANSAS CITY (1-1) [-3] OVER/UNDER [42.5]

  • 10 days off is a good way to go into Kansas City, but I don’t know that this Jets team is ready for that. They are developing but this pretty early in the season to get a big win in KC. They can do it for certain, but while they look good at times, the offense is still a little too suspect for me. Oh and they gave up a bunch of points to the terrible, horrible, no good, very bad Bills.
  • Until Matt Forte gets hurt he looks like the beast he has always been. Quincy Enunwa has been good enough to take some of the value away from Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker. That makes it tough to use them for the value you paid for them. If Marshall is out then Enunwa and Decker can be valued almost like Marshall and Decker were a year ago.
  • The Chiefs know they need to get off to a better start at the onset of the game. It’s a tough Jets D, but if they get Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce involved in the short passing game and Alex Smith is accurate they can easily neutralize the Jets front 7.
  • I’m playing Maclin in multiple leagues and I expect that Kelce will also have a nice day. I’d be more hesitant about starting Spencer Ware or Charcandrick West.

Chiefs 24, Jets 20 (OVER 42.5)

SAN DIEGO (1-1) @ INDIANAPOLIS (0-2) [-2.5] OVER/UNDER [52]

  • The Chargers surprised everyone with their shallacking of the Jags last week without Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead. Can they do it again? I think they can score points against a bad Colts defense, but I don’t know that they can do what they need to defensively to win on the road.
  • Melvin Gordon is the only must start. Antonio Gates is banged up and so that makes him sketchy. I am playing Tyrell Williams in a league this week, I like how they used him and only think that his role will expand.
  • The Colts are in danger of falling way behind the 8 ball if they go to 0-3. For a team that claims to have Super Bowl aspirations that’s not a way to get there.
  • Start Andrew Luck and TY Hilton. Phillip Dorsett if you are desperate and Dwayne Allen isn’t a great choice, but there are far worse streaming options.

Colts 33, Chargers 28 (OVER 52)

PITTSBURGH (2-0) @ PHILADELPHIA (2-0) [+3.5] OVER/UNDER [46.5]

  • The Steelers are looking like they are on a path straight to the AFC title game. They don’t look perfect, but they sure do look ahead of everyone else. And that is what good teams do. I am still nervous about their back end on defense, but if they can coach them up this team looks destined for a long playoff run.
  • Start your Steelers.
  • The Eagles look solid and the early returns suggest that Doug Pederson and Carson Wentz are a pretty good pairing. But they aren’t ready to win the battle for Pennsylvania.
  • You can use Jordan Matthews, and they are throwing to Nelson Agholor, at least for now, and Ryan Matthews is a starter, but if he doesn’t get in the end zone he is likely to disappoint you.

Steelers 31, Eagles 17 (OVER 46.5)

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

CHICAGO (0-2) @ DALLAS (1-1) [-7] OVER/UNDER [44.5]

  • Wow the Bears are bad. Do they get better without Jay Cutler? I’d be tempted to say yes, but Brian Hoyer is the fill in. Ouch.
  • I don’t know what the deal with Jeremy Langford is, but I’ve put him on the bench. Alshon Jeffrey’s value also tanks with Hoyer instead of Cutler.
  • The Cowboys went on the road and got a big division win. No reason to think they can’t hold serve at home and beat up on the injury plagued Bears.
  • Dez Bryant is a definite start. I’m not so sure who to start between Ezekiel Elliott and Alfred Morris. Elliott may have to sit and watch a bit because of the fumbles. He will play and get touches, but if he has dropped the ball at all in practice it could be a “sit and watch kid” game.

Cowboys 24, Bears 10 (UNDER 44.5)

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

ATLANTA (1-1) @ NEW ORLEANS (0-2) [-3] OVER/UNDER [53.5]

  • That’s a pretty good win by the Falcons in Oakland, but they still can’t stop anyone, and Drew Brees at home is likely to light them up like a Christmas Tree.
  • I would start the Falcons that you have. The Saints defense isn’t good, they only held the Giants down because the Giants kept dropping the ball.
  • The Saints need a win in the worst way if they want to even pretend they are going to compete for the playoffs. On this the 10th anniversary of the game that reopened the Superdome after Hurricane Katrina I fully expect the Saints to play their best game of the year.
  • Start your Saints the Falcons D stinks.

Saints 42, Falcons 38 (OVER 53.5)

N:64 Week 3, Part 1

NFL64

Man I was bad early. I was ok later, but Minnesota really saved my week. We are looking for a big rebound this week and actually sort of like the slate and my picks. It all starts tonight, with the Pats third string QB going against known QB destroyer JJ Watt. Do I think the Pats can win? Sure, I mean they haven’t given me any reason to doubt they can win in any situation since before I had either of my degrees. So why not win in a short week at home against a team that has to travel and is suspect on the road to begin with? So do I think it’s likely? Not at all, but it sure as shit is possible.

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2016 Week 2 NFL Summation

Summationweek1

Week 2 of the NFL is in the books and I sucked in the early games. I was decent in the rest and so I needed some space. So V-Sull and P-Sull went to see Tom Hanks play a guy named Sully! Not a bad take. I didn’t know much about the situation other than a plane landed on the Hudson and no one died. There were some serious levels of investigation involved though and that was fascinating even if they were obviously there to show Director Clint Eastwood’s disdain for red tape. The other thing that was was over the top was pointed out to me by V-Sull, and it was the overt product placement for Marriott. It came to a climax when the hotel manager hugged a soaked Hanks in the hall outside his room. All in all it was good and brief coming up about 90 minutes. A pleasant surprise in this day of 2 hour movies being the standard. Now onto football! Continue reading

N:64 Week 2, Part 2

NFL64

SUNDAY 4 PM GAMES

SEATTLE (1-0) @ LOS ANGELES (0-1) [+7] OVER/UNDER [38]

  • I will be curious to see how Russel Wilson’s ankle plays in week 2. If he isn’t able to plant and cut in his normal way my 13 win Seahawks are going to be the 9-10 win Seahawks.
  • It’s hard to know who to trust on these Seahawks fantasy wise. I own shares of Tyler Lockett and I don’t know what to do. There will be fantasy value on this team not named Wilson. I just am not sure who it is yet, or if it will be reliable.
  • After their week one El Stinko the now LA Rams open up at home with one of the best teams in the NFL (and their division) in week 2. Welcome back to the NFL LA you’re gonna keep getting your ass kicked!
  • Todd Gurley. Only relevant guy. And he could maybe not be relevant if the Rams really stink.

Seahawks 27, Rams 10 (UNDER 38) Continue reading

N:64 Week 2, Part 1

NFL64

My oh my what a way to kick off the season, for those new here I was 9-6-1 against the spread, 11-5 on straight picks and 12-3-1 on over/unders! Plus I was 2-0 in my fantasy leagues (If you are here looking for the daily fantasy stuff from last year, I’ve give that up and at some point this year I’ll explain that reasoning) and the Patriots went out and beat a team they shouldn’t have!

All and all it’s great start to the season and I’m excited for week two to start tonight in *groan* Buffalo.

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2016 Week 1 NFL SUMMATION

Summationweek1

Week 1 of the NFL is in the books and I had myself a pretty good week. I learned from a few things last year and it proved valuable in making my picks. So here we go with the first 2016 edition of Hooking Foul’s NFL Summation. Continue reading

2016 Patriots Season Preview!

My Dad’s relationship with football was much different than my own. He tried out for his high school team, got soundly run over in what I can only imagine was an Oklahoma drill, and walked off the field, never to return. This experience colored his view of football, which resulted in him not being anywhere near as passionate a football fan as we was a baseball fan. Sure he’d watch a game if it were on and he mostly understood it conceptually, he just wasn’t invested. It probably didn’t help that the Patriots weren’t any good, didn’t exist until he was 11, and were never on TV due to blackout rules, but I truly think his brief playing experience was the key to how he felt about football.

My Dad, My Sister and I at the Patriots Hall of Fame.

My Dad, My Sister and I at the Patriots Hall of Fame.

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2016 NFL Season Preview!

cardinalspatriots

FINALLY, NFL week 1 is here. It feels like we have been waiting for years! Thursday Night we will see the Super Bowl rematch and we will be off for another 17 weeks of NFL action! As a preview of sorts this week we start with predicting the record for each and every team! 

It’s a lot of info, but its a fast read, so let’s get right to it!  Continue reading

The Price of doing business

David Price sure isn’t pitching like we all thought or hoped he would. OK, lets be fair, no one can earn back the value of Price’s 31 million dollars a year unless they make 35 starts and go 35-0, and even then he hasn’t cured cancer, so it’s still not enough value. (To be clear that is no knock on Price, he should sign the best deal for him, and he did. I also have no expectation of him curing cancer.) So what is a reasonable expectation for Price?

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