2014 AL East Third Base Preview

bos_g_springts_600x400Hello folks baseball is back in Spring Training and it is time to start grading out the AL East. I’m only doing the AL East to assess where I think the Red Sox sit in their division. We are going to do this fairly scientifically. I’m going to grade each player, at each starting position. The team with the best player at the position gets 5 points, 2nd 4 points etc. Get it? Good, if not go away. Each position gets 2 lists, purely statistical and purely sleeveless. At the end the team with the most points from both lists will be the scientific favorite to win the AL East. Then I’ll wrap it all up and tell if I agree or disagree with science or if I’ll have my own sleeveless prediction.

February 24th, we did catchers! February 25th, we did first basemen! Yesterday, February 26th, we did second basemen!

Today, February 27th, we do third basemen!

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

3B

NAME

TEAM

OPS

BABIP

WAR

AVG

HR

RBI

SB

1

Longoria

RAYS

0.842

0.312

6.8

0.269

32

88

1

2

Lawrie

BLUE JAYS

0.712

0.28

1.3

0.254

11

46

9

3

Johnson

YANKEES

0.715

0.276

1.2

0.235

16

41

7

4

Middlebrooks

RED SOX

0.696

0.263

0.3

0.227

17

49

3

5

Flaherty

ORIOLES

0.683

0.259

1.4

0.224

10

27

2

SLEEVELESS ANALYSIS

1. Evan Longoria – Rays

If he stole 5 more bases he would be #1 on this list.

2. Brett Lawrie – Blue Jays

I don’t want him #5, but should he put it all together he could be #1.

3. Kelly Johnson – Yankees

The Yankee lineup will benefit Johnson, so will the right field fence.

4. Wil Middlebrooks – Red Sox

Can play his way out of the job in 4-6 weeks.

5. Ryan Flaherty – Orioles

Is only a placeholder until Machado returns from the DL, and I don’t know when that will be or I’d have ranked Machado instead of Flaherty.

AL EAST RANKS

2/27/2014

3rd Basemen

Overall

Points

Rays

10

Blue Jays

26

Blue Jays

8

Red Sox

25

Yankees

6

Rays

24

Red Sox

4

Orioles

23

Orioles

2

Yankees

22

SUMMARY

My overall impression is that until Machado comes back for The Orioles, The Rays have a clear advantage at third base with Longoria. He will still be number 1 when Machado comes back, but for how many more years? Lawrie for the Blue Jays is a guy filled with potential but tend to play himself out of the lineup with injuries. I love watching him play as he is a 110%, run through the wall kind of guy, but that becomes a detriment if he can’t stay healthy. Middlebrooks, Wil Middlebrooks came into 2013 with high hopes that he had ascended to the Red Sox and was going to be a 25-30 HR guy for the Sox for the next 10 years and then he stunk. Don’t get too excited about that 17 HR number listed in his stats, 3 game in 1 game in April and 2 came in 1 game in Colorado. Ironically his best HR month was September when we was splitting time with Bogaerts. Flaherty is a placeholder, the only question is for how long. If he is worse than Weeks, you could see Schoop here instead of at second base.

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