2014 AL East Right Field Preview

bos_g_springts_600x400Hello folks baseball is back in Spring Training and it is time to start grading out the AL East. I’m only doing the AL East to assess where I think the Red Sox sit in their division. We are going to do this fairly scientifically. I’m going to grade each player, at each starting position. The team with the best player at the position gets 5 points, 2nd 4 points etc. Get it? Good, if not go away. Each position gets 2 lists, purely statistical and purely sleeveless. At the end the team with the most points from both lists will be the scientific favorite to win the AL East. Then I’ll wrap it all up and tell if I agree or disagree with science or if I’ll have my own sleeveless prediction.

February 24th, we did catchers! February 25th, we did first basemenFebruary 26th, we did second basemen! , February 27th, we did third basemen! February 28th, we did shortstops! March 1st we did left fielders! Yesterday, March 2, we did center fielders!

Today, March 3, we do right fielders!

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

RF

NAME

TEAM

OPS

BABIP

WAR

AVG

HR

RBI

SB

1

Victorino

RED SOX

0.801

0.321

5.6

0.294

15

61

21

2

Beltran

YANKEES

0.83

0.314

2

0.296

24

84

2

3

Myers

RAYS

0.831

0.362

2.4

0.293

13

53

5

4

Bautista

BLUE JAYS

0.856

0.259

4.2

0.259

28

73

7

5

Markakis

ORIOLES

0.685

0.291

-0.1

0.271

10

59

1

SLEEVELESS ANALYSIS

1. Shane Victorino – Red Sox

If healthy all year I expect a final emphatically impressive season of 20 HRs and 20 steals at least.

2. Jose Bautista – Blue Jays

Stay healthy, hit 40+ HRs, be number 1 on this list next year, theoretically.

3. Will Myers – Rays

First full year, .300/25/90? I think that is a pretty good estimate.

4. Carlos Beltran – Yankees

Yankee Stadium will treat him well, as will DHing opposite Soriano a couple times a week.

5. Nick Markakis – Orioles

Time is running short for Markakis to prove his value.

AL EAST RANKS

3/3/2014

Rightfielders

Overall

Points

Red Sox

10

Blue Jays

52

Yankees

6

Yankees

50

Rays

6

Red Sox

50

Blue Jays

6

Orioles

46

Orioles

2

Rays

42

SUMMARY

My overall impression is that right field in the American League East is good but not great. I think Victorino is the class of the group for 1 more year with a great balance of offensive numbers. I think Bautista has the potential and ability to ramp it up and be a top 10 overall player, but he needs to be healthy. Myers has the skill set to be dominate in the AL East in right field for 10-12 years and I think we see many, many more glimpses of what is to come in 2014. I dont’ know what to expect from Beltran. He could end up being extremely good and win this category for the Yankees, or he could wind up hurt and missing a lot of time. With Cruz in the mix in Baltimore I don’t know how long the leash is for Markakis to be getting everyday at bats without producing.

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