2014 AL East Starting Pitcher #1’s Preview

bos_g_springts_600x400Hello folks baseball is back in Spring Training and it is time to start grading out the AL East. I’m only doing the AL East to assess where I think the Red Sox sit in their division. We are going to do this fairly scientifically. I’m going to grade each player, at each starting position. The team with the best player at the position gets 5 points, 2nd 4 points etc. Get it? Good, if not go away. Each position gets 2 lists, purely statistical and purely sleeveless. At the end the team with the most points from both lists will be the scientific favorite to win the AL East. Then I’ll wrap it all up and tell if I agree or disagree with science or if I’ll have my own sleeveless prediction.

February 24th, we did catchers! February 25th, we did first basemen! February 26th, we did second basemen! , February 27th, we did third basemen! February 28th, we did shortstops! March 1st we did left fielders! March 2, we did center fielders! March 3, we did right fielders! Yesterday, March 4, we did designated hitters!

Today, March 5, we do starting pitcher 1’s!

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

S1

NAME

TEAM

WHIP

K%

BB%

WAR

W

SV

ERA

K

1

Price

RAYS

1.1

20.4

3.7

4.4

10

0

3.33

151

2

Lester

RED SOX

1.29

19.6

7.4

4.3

15

0

3.75

177

3

Jimenez

ORIOLES

1.33

25

10.3

3.2

13

0

3.3

194

4

Sabathia

YANKEES

1.37

19.3

7.2

2.7

14

0

4.78

175

5

Dickey

BLUE JAYS

1.24

18.8

7.5

2

14

0

4.21

177

SLEEVELESS ANALYSIS

1. David Price – Rays

Pitching for his next contract expect a BIG year.

2. Jon Lester – Red Sox

15 wins, 177 strikeouts. I’ll take that.

3. C.C. Sabathia – Yankees

With an expected ERA drop (you thought I was going to say weight) he returns to the AL’s top 10.

4. Ubaldo Jimenez – Orioles

K% will drop in AL East, will  be still be a good pitcher, just not a #1.

5. RA Dickey – Blue Jays

The knuckleball is fickle.

AL EAST RANKS

3/5/2014

Starting Pitcher #1’s

Overall

Points

Rays

10

Red Sox

68

Red Sox

8

Yankees

63

Yankees

5

Blue Jays

59

Orioles

5

Orioles

56

Blue Jays

2

Rays

54

SUMMARY

My overall impression is that the AL East has some great aces. David Price is the cream of the crop, and pitching for his first big contract, plenty of motivation for the Tampa star to take it to the next level. Jon Lester has become the definition of consistency in Boston, also pitching for his next contract, but has admitted to wanting to stay in Boston. C.C. Sabathia had a very down year in New York in 2013, but has the potential to be #1 on this list, every year. Ubaldo Jimenez is a guy who has bounced around a bit and can go through dominate streaks, might struggle some against the plethora of AL East bats. RA Dickey is a former CY Young award winner in the NL. He had a good year in 2013, but the knuckleball is finicky and the AL East is a patient hitting division.

 

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