2014 AL East Starting Pitcher #2’s Preview

bos_g_springts_600x400Hello folks baseball is back in Spring Training and it is time to start grading out the AL East. I’m only doing the AL East to assess where I think the Red Sox sit in their division. We are going to do this fairly scientifically. I’m going to grade each player, at each starting position. The team with the best player at the position gets 5 points, 2nd 4 points etc. Get it? Good, if not go away. Each position gets 2 lists, purely statistical and purely sleeveless. At the end the team with the most points from both lists will be the scientific favorite to win the AL East. Then I’ll wrap it all up and tell if I agree or disagree with science or if I’ll have my own sleeveless prediction.

February 24th, we did catchers! February 25th, we did first basemen! February 26th, we did second basemen! , February 27th, we did third basemen! February 28th, we did shortstops! March 1st we did left fielders! March 2, we did center fielders! March 3, we did right fielders! March 4, we did designated hitters! Yesterday, March 5, we did starting pitcher #1’s!

Today, March 6, we do starting pitcher #2’s

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

S2

NAME

TEAM

WHIP

K%

BB%

WAR

W

SV

ERA

K

1

Lackey

RED SOX

1.16

20.7

5.1

3.2

10

0

3.52

161

2

Cobb

RAYS

1.15

23.2

7.8

2.4

11

0

2.76

134

3

Tillman

ORIOLES

1.22

21.2

8.1

2

16

0

3.71

179

4

Buehrle

BLUE JAYS

1.35

15.9

5.8

2.5

12

0

4.15

139

5

Tanaka

YANKEES

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

SLEEVELESS ANALYSIS

1. Alex Cobb – Rays

Should be solid for 10 years.

2. Chris Tillman – Orioles

Inflated W’s and K’s in 2013, drop in 2014.

3. John Lackey – Red Sox

85 to 90% of his 2013 stats is a victory for Red Sox fans and fantasy owners a like.

4. Masahiro Tanaka – Yankees

NO ONE KNOWS. He could be Darvish, he could be BETTER than Darvish, or he could be Dice-K.

5. Mark Buehrle – Blue Jays

Doesn’t strike out enough guys to be a #1 or # 2.

AL EAST RANKS

3/6/2014

Starting Pitcher #2’s

Overall

Points

Rays

9

Red Sox

76

Red Sox

8

Yankees

66

Orioles

7

Orioles

63

Yankees

3

Rays

63

Blue Jays

3

Blue Jays

62

SUMMARY

My overall impression of the AL East #2 starters is that the Rays have a bigger lead than the number dictate. Chris Archer is very, very good and far better than John Lackey for the Red Sox or Chris Tillman with the Orioles. Both Lackey and Tillman are solid and very necessary for teams that compete for championships, but both are past their dominate primes, if they ever had one. Now the big, big question Masahiro Tanaka…I don’t know what to think, but I’ll tell you this, I won’t be surprised if he is better than Darvish or worse than Hideki Irabu. I do know he won’t be fatter than Irabu. Mark Buehrle is very similar to Lackey and Tillman, but career arc, but not in stats anymore.

 

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *