2014 AL East Starting Pitcher #3’s Preview

bos_g_springts_600x400Hello folks baseball is back in Spring Training and it is time to start grading out the AL East. I’m only doing the AL East to assess where I think the Red Sox sit in their division. We are going to do this fairly scientifically. I’m going to grade each player, at each starting position. The team with the best player at the position gets 5 points, 2nd 4 points etc. Get it? Good, if not go away. Each position gets 2 lists, purely statistical and purely sleeveless. At the end the team with the most points from both lists will be the scientific favorite to win the AL East. Then I’ll wrap it all up and tell if I agree or disagree with science or if I’ll have my own sleeveless prediction.

February 24th, we did catchers! February 25th, we did first basemen! February 26th, we did second basemen! , February 27th, we did third basemen! February 28th, we did shortstops! March 1st we did left fielders! March 2, we did center fielders! March 3, we did right fielders! March 4, we did designated hitters! March 5, we did starting pitcher #1?s! Yesterday, March 6, we did starting pitcher #2’s!

Today, March 7, we do starting pitcher #3’s!

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

S3

NAME

TEAM

WHIP

K%

BB%

WAR

W

SV

ERA

K

1

Kuroda

YANKEES

1.16

18.2

5.2

3.8

11

0

3.31

150

2

Buchholz

RED SOX

1.02

23.1

8.7

3.2

12

0

1.74

96

3

Moore

RAYS

1.3

22.3

11.8

1.8

17

0

3.29

143

4

Chen

ORIOLES

1.32

18.2

6.8

2

7

0

4.07

104

5

Morrow

BLUE JAYS

1.49

17.4

7.4

-0.1

2

0

5.63

42

SLEEVELESS ANALYSIS

1. Clay Buchholz – Red Sox

Could be best pitcher in baseball, could spend the season on the disabled list.

2. Matt Moore – Rays

If his BB% dropped he could jump to # 1 on this list easily.

3. Hiroki Kuroda – Yankees

Too old for my blood.

4. Wei-Yin Chen – Orioles

Not enough strikeouts for me.

5. Brandon Morrow – Blue Jays

K% less than 20? Useless.

AL EAST RANKS

3/7/2014

Starting Pitcher 3’s

Overall

Points

Red Sox

9

Red Sox

85

Yankees

8

Yankees

74

Rays

7

Blue Jays

69

Orioles

4

Orioles

67

Blue Jays

2

Rays

65

SUMMARY

My overall impression of AL East #3 starters is that Clay Buchholz should be a #1 starter and due to injury and Jon Lester is slotted as a #3 which gives the Red Sox a huge advantage here. The Red Sox advantage disappears if Matt Moore reaches his potential for the Rays. His stuff is unquestioned, he just needs to control both sides of the plate better and keep the ball down. The Yankees got an amazing year out of an aging Hiroki Kuroda in 2013, can he repeat that, challenging Red Sox Buchholz and Ray’s Moore for best #3? I’m not sure. Wei-Yen Chen is a very solid starter for the Orioles, he doesn’t dazzle with gaudy strikeout #’s, but is extremely conservative pitch wise and doesn’t put himself if jams by walking batters. Brandon Morrow is a huge question mark. At times he has looked like a potential ace and others like a AA guy pitching way out of this league, sometimes in the same start.

 

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