2014 AL East Starting Pitcher #5’s Preview

bos_g_springts_600x400Hello folks baseball is back in Spring Training and it is time to start grading out the AL East. I’m only doing the AL East to assess where I think the Red Sox sit in their division. We are going to do this fairly scientifically. I’m going to grade each player, at each starting position. The team with the best player at the position gets 5 points, 2nd 4 points etc. Get it? Good, if not go away. Each position gets 2 lists, purely statistical and purely sleeveless. At the end the team with the most points from both lists will be the scientific favorite to win the AL East. Then I’ll wrap it all up and tell if I agree or disagree with science or if I’ll have my own sleeveless prediction.

February 24th, we did catchers! February 25th, we did first basemen! February 26th, we did second basemen! , February 27th, we did third basemen! February 28th, we did shortstops! March 1st we did left fielders! March 2, we did center fielders! March 3, we did right fielders! March 4, we did designated hitters! March 5, we did starting pitcher #1s! March 6, we did starting pitcher #2s! March 7, we did starting pitcher #3s! Yesterday, March 8, we did starting pitcher 4’s!

Today, March 9, we do starting pitcher #5’s!

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

S5

NAME

TEAM

WHIP

K%

BB%

WAR

W

SV

ERA

K

1

Gonzalez

ORIOLES

1.23

16.9

7.4

1.7

11

0

3.78

120

2

Doubront

RED SOX

1.43

19.7

10.1

2.8

11

0

4.32

139

3

Phelps

YANKEES

1.42

21

9.3

1.1

6

0

4.98

79

4

Odorizzi

RAYS

1.21

18

6.6

0.3

0

1

3.94

22

5

Drabek

BLUE JAYS

2.57

21.4

14.3

-0.1

0

0

7.71

3

SLEEVELESS ANALYSIS

1. Felix Doubront – Red Sox

Has a chance to prove himself as an every 5th day pitcher at the MLB level.

2. David Phelps – Yankees

A few less walks and Phelps could be a Yankees stud.

3. Jake Odorizzi – Rays

Should be the next in the Rays seemingly unending line of quality starters.

4. Miguel Gonzalez – Orioles

Seems to be just below the line of good.

5. Kyle Drabek – Blue Jays

Isn’t his father, but can still be very, very good if his stuff comes back post surgery.

AL EAST RANKS

3/9/2014

Starting Pitcher 5’s

Overall

Points

Red Sox

9

Red Sox

103

Yankees

7

Yankees

90

Orioles

7

Orioles

79

Rays

5

Rays

75

Blue Jays

2

Blue Jays

73

SUMMARY

My overall impression of AL East #5 starters is that again the Red Sox and Yankees again show how their payrolls help with depth. While none of these guys are totally proven, Felix Doubront is the most proven and has the best team behind him, so he is number 1. I hate the Yankees, but I like what David Phelps brings to the table as a pitcher. Miguel Gonzalez is, well, I don’t know exactly. I think he is solid, but don’t think he will ever be great and also think he could end up being awful. Jake Odorizzi is going to be good, very good I think, but everyone has to prove themselves. I’m not even sure Kyle Drabek wins this spot, but as a fan of his father I am pulling for him to win it and be good.

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