2016 Week 1 NFL SUMMATION

Summationweek1

Week 1 of the NFL is in the books and I had myself a pretty good week. I learned from a few things last year and it proved valuable in making my picks. So here we go with the first 2016 edition of Hooking Foul’s NFL Summation.

GAME NOTES – THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL EDITION

CAROLINA (0-0) @
DENVER (0-0) [+3]
Over/Under 41.5

Wow the Panthers blew that, and I’m not talking about the missed kick. Denver is about 1 injury away from needing their offense to be good and I’m just not sure they have the QB or RB to be good.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Panthers 21, Broncos 17
Broncos 21, Panthers 20
Under 41.5
Under 41.5

Season Record
Straight Picks 0-1
Spread Picks 0-1
O/U 1-0

GAME NOTES – 1 O’CLOCK EDITION

TAMPA BAY (0-0) @
ATLANTA (0-0) [-3]
Over/Under 47.5

I didn’t expect Tampa Bay to put it all together so quickly, but it sure helps that Atlanta’s defense was pretty fucking bad.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Falcons 28, Buccaneers 21
Buccaneers 31, Falcons 24
Over 47.5
Over 47.5


MINNESOTA (0-0) @
TENNESSEE (0-0) [+2.5]
Over/Under 41

The Vikings need Sam Bradford to be ready sooner rather than later. The defense bailed them out in Tennessee, but that won’t be the case often. And if they don’t at least tr out kickers I’d be shocked. Blair Walsh has just been bad his last 2 games.

The Titans have a problem that may be bigger than head coach Mike Mularkey, and it’s that Marcus Mariotta can’t deal with pressure. Maybe they can fix that with the offensive line, but I’m not sold on that at all.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Vikings 17, Titans 10
Vikings 25, Titans 16
Under 41
Push 41


CLEVELAND (0-0) @
PHILADELPHIA (0-0) [-4]
Over/Under 41

It’s gotta sting a bit to be Cleveland, not just because RGIII was bad (and now out for likely the entire season) but that you went to Philly and lost to the guy you passed on at #2 in the draft who looked more like a 5 year pro than RGIII did.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Eagles 24, Browns 17
Eagles 29, Browns 10
Over 41
Under 41


CINCINNATI (0-0) @
JETS (0-0) [+5.5]
Over/Under 42

The Bengals survived and sometimes that is what good teams do against teams that are worse than them.

The Jets need to be mildly worried about Ryan Fitzpatrick. He has bad games regularly and if he doesn’t rebound in the next week or 2 they probably should have saved themselves 12 million bucks.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Bengals 20, Jets 14
Bengals 23, Jets 22
Under 42
Over 42


OAKLAND (0-0) @
NEW ORLEANS (0-0) [-1]
Over/Under 51

The Raiders went big on the road and it paid off, but they have lots of defensive questions. I think a big win like that can start a team on the right path though and players start to play with confidence and that’s a good thing.

I believe that loss to the Raiders officially signals the beginning of the end for Sean Payton in New Orleans. Sorry Saints fans, its going to be an even longer year than when Rob Ryan was your defensive coordinator.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Raiders 35, Saints 20
Raiders 35, Saints 34
Over 51
Over 51


SAN DIEGO (0-0) @
KANSAS CITY (0-0) [-7]
Over/Under 44.5

The Chargers start the season with another injury losing number 1 wide out Keenan Allen to an ACL. Then they blew a huge lead to a division rival. I think Philip Rivers rallies the team a bit, but I’m not sure they can get to the 9 wins I begged them for a week ago.

Did KC just capitalize on a bad team losing one of its stars and just not being very good, or did they really just get their heads out of Andy Reid’s ass in the second half. It was really hard to tell, but Alex Smith wasn’t very accurate and if he isn’t especially accurate he isn’t worth anything the Chiefs.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Chiefs 24, Chargers 21
Chiefs 33, Chargers 27 (OT)
Over 44.5
Over 44.5


BUFFALO (0-0) @
BALTIMORE (0-0) [-3]
Over/Under 44.5

The Bills just suck. It’s just reality and My Friend Craig is even starting to realize it.

The Ravens aren’t much better, and my god that was just a boring game.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Ravens 24, Bills 20
Ravens 13,Bills 7
Under 44.5
Under 44.5


CHICAGO (0-0) @
HOUSTON (0-0) [-6.5]
Over/Under 44

The Texans aren’t that good, in fact they didn’t really look good at all to me and JJ Watt looked like an NFL player, not the Terminator he has looked like since he came into the league. That’s a problem.

The Bears are that bad, or at least are that thin. The defense was actually pretty all right at times, but Jay Cutler was his normal mediocre self and well that’s how you dont’ score points in the second half.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Texans 27, Bears 24
Texans 23, Bears 14
Over 44
Under 44


GREEN BAY (0-0) @
JAX (0-0) [+5.5]
Over/Under 48

The Packers didn’t fix their offensive line. It could be a long year of running around for Aaron Rodgers.

The Jaguars look pretty good on both sides of the ball. It’s not that they are there yet, but they flashed a lot of pluck against a team full of veterans.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Jaguars 42, Packers 41
Packers 27, Jaguars 23
Over 48
Over 48

Season Record
Straight Picks 7-3
Spread Picks 6-4
O/U 6-3-1

GAME NOTES – 4 O’CLOCK EDITION

MIAMI (0-0) @
SEATTLE (0-0) [-10.5]
Over/Under 44

Wow what a scare for Seattle and the 12th man, not only the almost loss, but Russell Wilson having his ankle stepped on. They survived and it looks like he will be ok. But they still refuse to sign a QB with any actual NFL experience so they might become the Romo-less Cowboys 2.0 if Wilson goes down.

Great start for Miami for about 58 minutes. If they can get over that last 2 minutes they can really make a nice jump because their defense looked legitimate against a team people thought were going to be explosive.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Seahawks 31, Dolphins 13
Seahawks 12, Dolphins 10
Under 44
Under 44


GIANTS (0-0) @
DALLAS (0-0) [+1]
Over/Under 46.5

The Giants survived and their offense seemed very good in moments. The 3 headed WR monster of Odell Beckham Jr., Victor Cruz and Sterling Shepard looked very hard to cover. Rashard Jennings looked rejuvenated coming out of the backfield and Shane Vereen looked at his always steady self. Eli Missed some throws, but guys were running open if Eli fixes that they could put up a lot of points.

The Cowboys weren’t good on offense or defense. It wasn’t really on Dak Prescott, he was good enough, especially in his first NFL game, but to not get Dez Bryant more involved is pretty insane. I don’t know if the defense can stop anyone.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Giants 28, Cowboys 10
Giants 20, Cowboys 19
Under 46.5
Under 46.5


DETROIT (0-0) @
INDIANAPOLIS (0-0) [-3.5]
Over/Under 50.5

The Lions almost blew it for the second opening day in a row, but they survived and that’s step one in building confidence and getting on the road to winning.

The Colts seemed to think that the return of Andrew Luck was going to be enough to magically repair their team. And once again they were wrong. Luck is likely to get hurt again and the Colts may still compete for the AFC South, but I doubt it.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Lions 35, Colts 31
Lions 39, Colts 35
Over 50.5
Over 50.5

Season Record
Straight Picks 10-3
Spread Picks 7-5-1
O/U 9-3-1

 

GAME NOTES – SUNDAY NIGHT EDITION

NEW ENGLAND (0-0) @
ARIZONA (0-0) [-6]
Over/Under 47

I got the line at 6 before the news of Rob Gronkowski being out pushed it to 9. I should have doubled down! The Patriots played a game that was very similar to what I described. They didn’t hold onto the ball quite as much as I thought they needed to (33+ minutes in reality, to the 40 I thought was necessary), but it worked out in the same way, even if Arizona had a chance at a long field goal at the end.

Arizona’s GM isn’t happy that they lost to the Pats and he shouldn’t be. Regardless of Tom Brady being there or not, the Cardinals got out coached by Bill Belichick and lost to a team who will be getting back major upgrades at multiple positions.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Cardinals 20, Patriots 17
Patriots 23, Cardinals 21
Under 47
Under 47

Season Record
Straight Picks 10-4
Spread Picks 8-5-1
O/U 10-3-1

 

GAME NOTES – MONDAY NIGHT EDITION

PITTSBURGH (0-0) @
WASHINGTON (0-0) [+3]
Over/Under 50

Pittsburgh was itself, Big Ben Roethliberger, Antonio Brown, Eli Rogers, (the new Heinz Ward maybe?) and DeAngelo Williams. The defense was tempered and uncharacteristically didn’t attack until late in the game. It worked though as they stopped the rush and the pass with ease and kept Washington out of the end zone until the game was basically decided.

Washington needed to punch in a TD on one of those first 2 possessions, they didn’t and Pittsburgh never looked back. Washington could be in trouble becuse they typicallt don’t play that poorly at home.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
Redskins 42, Steelers 36
Steelers 38, Redkins 16
Over 50
Over 50


LOS ANGELES (0-0) @
SAN FRAN (0-0) [+2.5]
Over/Under 44

The Rams stunk and I think its only a signof things to come. The 49ers don’t have a good team and while I wouldn’t say they dominated the front 7 of the Rams defense, they certainly didn’t find too many problem moving the ball enough to score.

Jared Goff better get ready quick because if not its going to be an ugly year in the city of beautiful people.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
 
49ers 28, Rams 10
49ers 28, Rams 0
Under 44
Under 44

Season Record
Straight Picks 11-5
Spread Picks 9-6-1
O/U 12-3-1

Check back Thursday for my week 2 picks in Hooking Foul’s NFL:64!

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