2016 Week 2 NFL Summation

Summationweek1

Week 2 of the NFL is in the books and I sucked in the early games. I was decent in the rest and so I needed some space. So V-Sull and P-Sull went to see Tom Hanks play a guy named Sully! Not a bad take. I didn’t know much about the situation other than a plane landed on the Hudson and no one died. There were some serious levels of investigation involved though and that was fascinating even if they were obviously there to show Director Clint Eastwood’s disdain for red tape. The other thing that was was over the top was pointed out to me by V-Sull, and it was the overt product placement for Marriott. It came to a climax when the hotel manager hugged a soaked Hanks in the hall outside his room. All in all it was good and brief coming up about 90 minutes. A pleasant surprise in this day of 2 hour movies being the standard. Now onto football!

GAME NOTES – THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL EDITION

NEW YORK [AFC] (0-1) @
BUFFALO (0-1) [+1]
Over/Under 38

Rex is in trouble, but on the other side the Jets weren’t exactly world beaters. These two teams that sort of pride themselves on defense gave up a combined 68 points blowing my taking the under of 38 out of the water early in the third quarter.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Jets 21, Bills 17
Jets 37, Bills 31
Under 38
Over 38


GAME NOTES – 1 O’CLOCK EDITION

SAN FRAN (1-0) @
CAROLINA (0-1) [-13]
Over/Under 45.5

The 49ers defense is going to be better than anticipated until Chip Kelly trades all the good players away for his former Oregon Ducks. But all jokes aside Carolina did what they are supposed to against a bad team, and took it too the 49ers when it was critical.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Panthers 38, 49ers 16
Panthers 46, 49ers 27
Over 45.5
Over 45.5


DALLAS (0-1) @
WASHINGTON (0-1) [-3]
Over/Under 45.5

I’m going to be intrigued to see if Kirk Cousins continues to look like 2014 Cousins or turns back into 2015 Cousins. If he doesn’t it’s going to be a long season in DC.

The Cowboys adjusted exactly as they needed to in getting Dez Bryant the ball more and got a victory as a result. They need to teach Ezekiel Elliott how to hold onto the ball through before their 1st round pick becomes a head case.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Redskins 28, Cowboys 20
Cowboys 27, Redskins 23
Over 45.5
Over 45.5


CINCINNATI (1-0) @
PITTSBURGH (1-0) [-3]
Over/Under 48

In a rainy slugfest the Steelers held court at home and looked a bit better than the Bengals. Its early so who knows how this will all develop as these teams start to get guys back from suspensions and injuries occur. It should be another great game when they meet again in Cincy.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Steelers 28, Bengals 24
Steelers 24, Bengals 16
Over 48
Under 48


NEW ORLEANS (0-1) @
NEW YORK [NFC] (1-0) [-4.5]
Over/Under 53

Just an ugly ugly game where the Giants just continually coughed up the ball when they got close to the goal line, they can win the NFC East doing that, they can’t win the NFC though. The Saints aren’t a good team and it should have been a far bigger loss and I expect many of those along the way for the Saints.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Giants 42, Saints 31
Giants 16, Saints 13
Over 53
Under 53


MIAMI (0-1) @
NEW ENGLAND (1-0) [-6.5]
Over/Under 41.5

Oh poor Jimmy G-Sus! Comes out, looks like a top-10 QB in the NFL and then boom goes his AC joint. Not all is lost for the Pats, mostly because Tom Brady was always coming back week 5. And Jacoby Brissett did everything he needed to do, control the huddle, drive the team, make enough throws to keep the defense honest and not turn the ball over.

As for Miami they can take a lot from their two amazingly tough road contests. It’s a long road ahead still and Ryan Tannehill may not be the answer, but the defense up front is solid and there is some talent with the offensive skill position players not named Tannehill.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Patriots 23, Dolphins 17
Patriots 31, Dolphins 24
Under 41.5
Over 41.5


KANSAS CITY (1-0) @
HOUSTON (1-0) [-7]
Over/Under 43.5

The Chiefs got behind, again, and in the end their defense couldn’t hold off the Texans enough for them to complete the comeback. The KC offense isn’t really built to comeback, they are built to hold a lead, if they can ever get one.

I am still not a believer in the Texans. Brock Osweiler is throwing it up and DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller are coming down with them. That’s not an offense though and maybe 2 years ago the defense was good enough that that would be enough, but I don’t see it unless JJ Watt’s back heals far faster than it seems to be so far.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Chiefs 27, Texans 24
Texans 19, Chiefs 12
Over 43.5
Under 43.5


TENNESSEE (0-1) @
DETROIT (1-0) [-6]
Over/Under 47.5

The Lions blew that game with penalties. There shouldn’t have been any doubt not only about them covering but also about them winning outright. Jim Caldwell needs to get this team’s shit together or they are going to keep losing. He is supposed to be able to manage things like this, because it’s not like he is doing anything else on the sideline…..

I still don’t like how Marcus Mariota looks in the face of pressure, and he doesn’t look much better in a clean pocket either. I don’t know if it’s jitters or the beating he took last year, but he needs to calm the fuck down.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Lions 35, Titans 21
Titans 16, Lions 15
Over 47.5
Under 47.5


BALTIMORE (1-0) @
CLEVELAND (0-1) [+6.5]
Over/Under 43

The Ravens rebounded after failing to show up early. They can’t make a habit of that because most of their opponents aren’t the Browns. But that’s an organizational win in the sense that the Ravens have built survival into DNA.
The Browns DNA is sadly just one of injury and disappointment. NFL teams shouldn’t lose games when they go up that big, but of course the Browns QB got hurt, again, and that was it.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Ravens 31, Browns 10
Ravens 25, Browns 20
Under 43
Under 43


GAME NOTES – 4 O’CLOCK EDITION

SEATTLE (1-0) @
LA (0-1) [+7]
Over/Under 38

It’s was a shit game to watch, I imagine it was a shit game to play and coach too. Hey I got the under, which is better than I did with most of the late games!

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Seahawks 27, Rams 10
Rams 9, Seahawks 3
Under 38
Under 38


TAMPA BAY (1-0) @
ARIZONA (0-1) [-6.5]
Over/Under 50.5

The Cardinals needed to show they are still a team to be reckoned with, and they were able to demonstrate that against a team who were probably thinking they were a little bit bigger than their britches.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Cardinals 45, Bucs 35
Cardinals 40, Bucs 7
Over 50.5
Under 50.5


JACKSONVILLE (0-1) @
SAN DIEGO (0-1) [-3]
Over/Under 47

The Chargers should be 2-0 and I think they have as good a chance to be the 9-10 win team I envisioned even without Keenan Allen, especially if they can win at home. Playing at home in 2015 was more a deterrent than an advantage, not that the Jags are the best example of a team that travels well, but the Chargers had to start somewhere.

The Jags need to come together better. Their close game against the Packers doesn’t look as good as I initially thought after the Packers laid another egg. So maybe the Jags defense isn’t as good as I thought.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Jaguars 27, Chargers 24
Chargers 38, Jaguars 14
Over 47
Over 47


ATLANTA (0-1) @
OAKLAND (1-0) [-4.5]
Over/Under 49.5

I thought the Raiders better than that on defense, I think they will be, but they need some sort of scheme change or something to get better pressure on the QB so their defensive backs don’t have so much pressure to cover

I didn’t think the Falcons had it in them to do that on the road, but I’m not going to be too impressed because their defense should be much better with Dan Quinn as their coach.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Raiders 36, Falcons 21
Falcons 35, Raiders 28
Over 49.5
Over 49.5


INDIANAPOLIS (0-1) @
DENVER (1-0) [-6]
Over/Under 46

My god that was a bad beat for me having the Colts +6 and having Von Miller strip sack Andrew Luck for the score that allowed the Bronco’s to cover. I still don’t believe in the Bronco’s offense though, so now, going on the road, it may get a lot tougher for the defending Super Bowl Champs.

The Colts, man, they really have just decided it’s going to happen with Luck being amazing or it’s just not going to happen.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Broncos 27, Colts 24
Broncos 34, Colts 20
Over 46
Over 46


GAME NOTES – SUNDAY NIGHT EDITION

GREEN BAY (1-0) @
MINNESOTA (1-0) [-6]
Over/Under 43.5

Man I think I know what is wrong with Green Bay’s offense and I think it starts and ends with the center. I don’t think Aaron Rodgers trusts him at all. I also don’t think that he can handle a nose tackle lined up in a tilt technique. Two weeks in a row now the center has been beaten more often than not with the nose lined up in that technique. Not good and likely why Rodgers appears skittish in the pocket.

The Vikings may be ok, even if Adrian Peterson is lost for quite some time. Their defense is extremely legit and Sam Bradford showed more than moxie in taking hits and delivering the ball all over the field. They need to do a better job keeping him upright, injury is the main concern with Bradford because, to be completely honest, I forgot how nice and catchable a ball Bradford throws.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Vikings 28, Packers 27
Vikings 17, Packers 14
Over 43.5
Under 43.5


GAME NOTES – MONDAY NIGHT EDITION

PHILADELPHIA (1-0) @
CHICAGO (0-1) [-3]
Over/Under 43

The Eagles aren’t legit in terms of a threat to make the playoffs or anything, but man Carson Wentz looks good enough in the pocket that they should feel comfortable that they may finally have their QB of the future.

John Fox is warming the seat for whomever gets that job next year. It’s a bit too bad because I’ve liked Fox at every stop, but Cutler isn’t the answer, and seems like the kind of guy who can just screw things up more often than bring them together.

Pick
Actual
Pick
Total
Bears 21, Eagles 20
Eagles 29, Bears 14
Under 43
Push 43


Week Record
Straight Picks 9-7
Spread Picks 6-10
O/U 6-9-1

Season Record
Straight Picks 20-12
Spread Picks 15-15-1
O/U 18-12-2

Check back Thursday for my week 3 picks in Hooking Foul’s NFL:64!

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