Week 1 is here, LITERALLY!

IT IS HERE! NFL Kickoff night is literally here, in both time and space!

I don’t know how a lot of the football stadium situations work across the country, but here in Boston, Gillette Stadium is nowhere near Boston. (Well, relatively, the shortest route via Google Maps is 27.2 miles.) So while Boston Proper gets the parades, it doesn’t get the games. Since 1971 Foxboro, Massachusetts has been the home to the Patriots. And a splendid home it has become. It just means that the city doesn’t tend to get the festivities of an event like the NFL Kickoff driven by Hyundai.

Until today!

Christopher Columbus Park, in my North End neighborhood, will host a gated event showing “America’s Game: 2016 New England Patriots” at 11 AM and then at 12 PM Guster will perform. Former Patriots Willie McGinest and Rodney Harrison will be in attendance.

I swung by on my walk to work this morning and this was the scene.

I’m not going to lie, it’s a pretty cool event to have hosted in my neighborhood, just outside the Joe’s I go to a lot and the park where Ronan will be running around in soon enough. And the fact that it marks that the NFL is back is just the icing on the cake.

So with that let’s tie up the loose ends of preseason, give the week 1 picks and over/unders and maybe go see Guster. (I’m not going to see Guster, if I went down it would be because I found out my boy Tom E. Curran was going to be there. To whom I happen to be listening to on Quick Slants the Podcast at this very moment!)


WEEK 1

Last year for the season I went 129-127-11 against the spread and 138-123-6 on OVER/UNDERS. Not too bad. I’m looking to improve of course, but if this were easy everyone would do it.

In week 1 specifically I went 9-6-1 against the spread and 12-3-1 on OVER/UNDERS. A nice way to kick off the year we are hoping to improve upon that in 2017! 

As a refresher, I pick the scores of the game before I look at the spreads. I then apply the spread and that’s how I decide which team to pick and which side of the over/under to take. It is very much along the same principle lines as the development of the season long picks. I ask who should win this game and by how much. It is not a rocket science system.

THURSDAY NIGHT Sep-7-17  
GAME 1 Chiefs @ PATRIOTS -9 8:30 PM NBC
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
PATRIOTS 27, Chiefs 17   PATRIOTS 18, Chiefs 17 44 UNDER 48.5
       
  SUNDAY Sep-10-17  
GAME 2 Jets @ BILLS -9 1:00 PM CBS
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
BILLS 24, Jets 13 BILLS 15, Jets 13 37 UNDER 40
       
GAME 3 Eagles @ REDSKINS +1 1:00 PM FOX
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
REDSKINS 31, Eagles 24 REDSKINS 32, Eagles 24 55 OVER 47.5
       
GAME 4 RAIDERS +2.5 @ Titans 1:00 PM CBS
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
RAIDERS 27, Titans 24 RAIDERS 24.5, Titans 24 51 OVER 50.5
       
GAME 5 Texans @ JAGUARS +5.5 1:00 PM CBS
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
TEXANS 17, Jaguars 12 JAGUARS 17.5, Texans 17 29 UNDER 39.5
       
GAME 6 Cardinals @ LIONS +2 1:00 PM FOX
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
LIONS 24, Cardinals 21 LIONS 26, Cardinals 21 45 UNDER 48
       
GAME 7 STEELERS -9 @ Browns 1:00 PM CBS
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
STEELERS 34, Browns 17 STEELERS 25, Browns 17 51 OVER 47
       
GAME 8 FALCONS -7 @ Bears 1:00 PM FOX
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
FALCONS 30, Bears 12 FALCONS 23, Bears 12 42 UNDER 48.5
       
GAME 9 Ravens @ BENGALS -3 1:00 PM CBS
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
BENGALS 21, Ravens 15 BENGALS 18, Ravens 15 36 UNDER 42.5
       
GAME 10 Colts @ RAMS -4 4:00 PM CBS
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
RAMS 27, Colts 20 RAMS 23, Colts 20 47 OVER 41.5
       
GAME 11 PANTHERS -5.5 @ 49ers 4:00 PM FOX
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
PANTHERS 27, 49ers 20 PANTERS 21.5, 49ers 20 47 UNDER 47.5
       
GAME 12* Seahawks @ PACKERS -3* 4:00 PM FOX
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
PACKERS 27, Seahawks 24 PACKERS 24, Seahawks 24 51 OVER 51
       
GAME 13 GIANTS +4 @ Cowboys 8:30PM NBC
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
COWBOYS 24, Giants 21 GIANTS 25, Cowboys 21 45 UNDER 47.5
       
  MONDAY Sep-11-17  
GAME 14 Saints @ VIKINGS -3 7:00 PM ESPN
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
VIKINGS 28, Saints 21 VIKINGS 25, Saints 21 49 OVER 48
       
GAME 15 CHARGERS +3.5 @ Broncos 10:00 PM ESPN
MY SCORE  SPREAD ADJUSTMENT  MY TOTAL  OVER/UNDER
CHARGERS 30, Broncos 17 CHARGERS 33.5, Broncos 17 47 OVER 43

*One thing to note. I picked the Seahawks at the packers game EXACTLY as the odds makers did. Packers 27, Seahawks 24, total of 51 points. So I picked the Packers to win against the spread and the the total to go over.


SEASON LONG WIN OVER/UNDERS

(Last Season I went 18-14.)

AFC EAST TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER NFC EAST TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER
1 Patriots 16-0 OVER 12.5 1 Cowboys 13-3 OFF THE BOARD
2 Dolphins 5-11 UNDER 7.5 2 Giants 10-6 OVER 8.5
3 Bills 2-14 UNDER 6.5 3 Eagles 8-8 UNDER 8.5
4 Jets 1-15 UNDER 3.5 4 Redskins 7-9 UNDER 7.5
AFC NORTH TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER NFC NORTH TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER
1 Steelers 15-1 OVER 10.5 1 Packers 13-3 OVER 10.5
2 Bengals 11-5 OVER 8.5 2 Vikings 12-4 OVER 8.5
3 Ravens 4-12 UNDER 8.5 3 Lions 6-10 UNDER 7.5
4 Browns 3-13 UNDER 4.5 4 Bears 2-14 UNDER 5.5
AFC SOUTH TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER NFC SOUTH TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER
1 Titans 10-6 OVER 8.5 1 Panthers 13-3 OVER 9
2 Texans 9-7 OVER 8.5 2 Falcons 12-4 OVER 9.5
3 Jaguars 5-11 UNDER 6.5 3 Bucs 8-8 UNDER 8.5
4 Colts 4-12 UNDER 7.5 4 Saints 4-12 UNDER 8.5
AFC WEST TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER NFC WEST TEAM SEASON OVER/UNDER
1 Raiders 12-4 OVER 9.5 1 Seahawks 14-2 OVER 10.5
2 Chiefs 10-6 OVER 9 2 Cardinals 8-8 UNDER 8.5
3 Chargers 10-6 OVER 7.5 3 Rams 2-14 UNDER 5.5
4 Broncos 5-11 UNDER 8.5 4 49ers 2-14 UNDER 4.5

So there it is. I don’t love a lot of the odds I got, but the bets are so small it’s really just an exercise and I put the small amounts down just to keep myself honest.

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